Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
President Donald Trump has claimed to have ended six, and later seven, wars since starting his second term, amidst his efforts to broker an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Speaking at the White House on August 18, he stated he made these deals “without even the mention of the word ‘ceasefire’,” despite later using the term on his Truth Social platform. His administration has suggested he is “well past time” for a Nobel Peace Prize for his role as “peacemaker-in-chief,” listing several conflicts he purportedly resolved, though some lasted only days and the longevity of peace deals remains uncertain.
Israel and Iran
A 12-day conflict between Israel and Iran began on June 13 following Israeli strikes on targets in Iran. President Trump confirmed prior notification from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites were widely seen as contributing to a swift resolution. On June 23, Trump posted that both nations would begin a “CEASEFIRE” leading to an “Official END to THE 12 DAY WAR.” However, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei later claimed a “decisive victory” without mentioning a ceasefire, and Israel has indicated it may strike Iran again. Michael O’Hanlon, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, notes this is “more of a de facto ceasefire than an end to war,” but credits Trump for the strategic significance of weakening Iran with US assistance.
Pakistan and India
Long-standing tensions between India and Pakistan escalated into hostilities in May following an attack in Indian-administered Kashmir. After four days of strikes, President Trump announced a “FULL AND IMMEDIATE CEASEFIRE,” attributing it to “a long night of talks mediated by the United States.” Pakistan publicly thanked Trump and recommended him for the Nobel Peace Prize. However, Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri stated that cessation talks were held directly between India and Pakistan through existing military channels, playing down US involvement.
Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo
Hostilities between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo flared after the M23 rebel group seized mineral-rich territory in eastern DR Congo earlier this year. In June, the two nations signed a peace agreement in Washington, which President Trump linked to increased trade with the US. The agreement called for “respect for the ceasefire” agreed in August 2024. Since the deal, both sides have accused each other of violations, and the M23 rebels, linked to Rwanda by the UK and US, have threatened to withdraw from peace talks. Human Rights Watch reported that the rebel group killed at least 140 people in eastern DR Congo in July.
Thailand and Cambodia
On July 26, President Trump stated on Truth Social that he was calling the Acting Prime Minister of Thailand to request a “Ceasefire, and END to the War.” Within days, the two countries agreed to an “immediate and unconditional ceasefire” after less than a week of border fighting. While Malaysia facilitated the peace talks, President Trump threatened to halt separate negotiations on reducing US tariffs unless Thailand and Cambodia ceased hostilities. Both nations are significantly dependent on exports to the US. An agreement aimed at reducing border tensions was reached on August 7.
Armenia and Azerbaijan
The leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan have suggested that President Trump should receive the Nobel Peace Prize for his role in securing a peace deal, announced at the White House on August 8. Michael O’Hanlon of the Brookings Institution believes Trump deserves “good credit” for pushing the parties towards peace with the Oval Office signing ceremony. The two governments had expressed readiness to end their nearly 40-year conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh in March.
Egypt and Ethiopia
While there was no “war” to end, Egypt and Ethiopia have long-standing tensions over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the River Nile, which was completed this summer. Egypt is concerned about its water supply from the Nile. After 12 years of disagreement, talks between the two countries stalled on June 29. President Trump commented that if he were Egypt, he “would want the water in the Nile” and promised a swift US resolution. Egypt welcomed Trump’s remarks, though Ethiopian officials stated they risked escalating tensions. No formal agreement has been reached to resolve their differences.
Serbia and Kosovo
On June 27, President Trump claimed to have prevented an outbreak of hostilities between Serbia and Kosovo, stating he warned them against conflict by threatening to halt trade with the United States. The two countries have a long-standing dispute, a legacy of the 1990s Balkan wars, with tensions rising in recent years. However, Professor MacMillan noted that “Serbia and Kosovo haven’t been fighting or firing at each other, so it’s not a war to end.” The White House highlighted Trump’s diplomatic efforts in his first term, which included economic normalization agreements signed in 2020, but these nations were not at war at that time.
While President Trump has claimed credit for ending multiple conflicts and his administration has championed his role as a “peacemaker,” an examination of these situations reveals varying degrees of direct US involvement, the often short-lived nature of hostilities, and instances where formal peace deals have not been fully established or recognized by all parties.