Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
The European Commission has proposed significant measures against Israel, including sanctions on ministers and extremist settlers, alongside the suspension of preferential trade access for billions of euros worth of Israeli exports. This move, announced on Wednesday, represents Brussels’ most extensive effort to pressure Benjamin Netanyahu’s government regarding the ongoing conflict in Gaza and the humanitarian crisis.
Commission’s Proposals and Rationale
European Commissioner for Trade Maroš Šefčovič stated regret over the necessity of these steps, but deemed them “appropriate and proportionate” given the humanitarian situation in Gaza. A senior Commission official emphasized the importance of demonstrating the EU’s readiness to act when principles are violated.
The proposed trade suspension would impact approximately €6 billion worth of Israeli goods, accounting for 37% of Israel’s total exports to the EU. This measure requires approval from a “qualified majority” of EU countries, meaning 15 countries representing at least 65% of the bloc’s population.
Individual sanctions target leading far-right Israeli officials, including Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir. These individuals have previously been declared unwelcome by several Western nations. Three extremist settlers and several organizations active in the Israeli-occupied West Bank are also included in the proposed sanctions.
Additional Sanctions and Exemptions
Brussels also proposed sanctions on 10 senior officials of Hamas, whose October 2023 attack triggered the current conflict. Unlike the trade measures, the proposed sanctions on Israeli ministers and settlers, as well as those on Hamas officials, require unanimous backing from all 27 EU member states.
Commissioner for the Mediterranean Dubravka Šuica confirmed that EU funds allocated to Israeli civil society organizations, including those combating anti-Semitism, remain unaffected by these proposals.
Expected Obstacles to Approval
Despite the Commission’s proposals, their passage is uncertain due to staunch opposition from several EU countries, including Germany and Hungary. The EU’s top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, expressed skepticism about the ultimate endorsement of these proposals by member states, noting that “the political lines are very much in the place where they have been so far,” even as public opinion shifts.