Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
The United States and China are set to hold a new round of trade talks next week in Malaysia, aiming to prevent a further escalation of tariffs between the world’s two largest economies. The announcement comes as President Donald Trump acknowledged that current US tariffs on Chinese goods are “unsustainable” and revealed plans to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in South Korea in November.
Upcoming Trade Discussions
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed his expectation to meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Malaysia next week. This follows a video call between the two officials on Saturday, which Chinese state media Xinhua described as “candid, in-depth and constructive,” with both sides agreeing to resume trade negotiations promptly. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer also participated in the call.
Trump’s Stance on Tariffs
In an interview with Fox Business, President Trump defended his administration’s decision to impose tariffs, stating, “It’s not sustainable, but that’s what the number is… They forced me to do that.” This remark addresses the cumulative 157% tariff rate on Chinese goods, a figure that has raised questions about its potential impact on the US economy.
Recent Trade Tensions and Strategic Materials
The upcoming talks and President Trump’s comments follow a period of heightened trade tensions. Last week, China expanded its export controls on the critical rare earths industry, prompting President Trump to threaten retaliatory 100 percent tariffs on imports from the Asian nation. Earlier, Secretary Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer had criticized China’s restrictions, labeling them a threat to global supply chains.
China holds a dominant position in rare-earth elements, which are vital for technology manufacturing. In response to China’s actions, President Trump has also threatened to impose new US export controls that would halt the supply of “any and all critical software.”
Context of Prior Agreements
These developments occur as a previous tariff truce, which had scaled down duties for both countries from triple-digit marks, is set to conclude on November 10. Over the past six months, Secretary Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng have met in four European cities to establish this initial agreement.
Outlook
The forthcoming discussions in Malaysia and the planned meeting between President Trump and President Xi highlight ongoing efforts to navigate complex trade relations. Both nations appear to be seeking pathways to de-escalate tensions and stabilize economic ties amidst significant tariff disputes and strategic industry controls.
