Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
Ethereum’s price is testing the $4,000 mark, fueled by optimism from a highly successful “smart trader” who has significantly increased their long position in Ether, now valued at over $131 million. The cryptocurrency’s rebound comes amidst strong technical indicators and expectations of further upside momentum, as market participants await key economic data.
Smart Trader’s Bet on Upside
An unnamed but highly successful trader, noted for a 100% win rate, has reportedly expanded their Ethereum long position to 33,270 ETH, equivalent to approximately $131.24 million at current rates. This individual also opened a 4X long on 80 Bitcoin, valued at $8.9 million, entering at $110,900 per BTC. According to X user Discover, the trader has already accumulated $16 million in profit over the past two weeks, indicating a strong bet on an impending Ethereum price surge.
Market Dynamics and Economic Context
The ETH/USD pair recently traded at $3,940, having briefly touched an intraday high of $4,025 on Friday, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView. Trader Daab Crypto Trades suggested that breaking above the long-standing cycle high of $4,100 would be crucial to turn the recent price flush into a significant deviation and potential breakout. This market activity unfolds as investors anticipate the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, expected to show high inflation at 3.1%, though this is unlikely to deter odds of Fed rate cuts, which stand at over 94% according to the CME Fedwatch tool.
Bullish Price Predictions Emerge
Several analysts are issuing bullish price predictions for Ether, pointing to strong on-chain metrics and technical structures. Master of Crypto highlighted a declining supply of ETH on exchanges, which has reached multi-year lows, suggesting a potential supply squeeze that could trigger an “explosive” price movement. Analyst Crypto Zee agreed, noting that Ether’s price has formed a “textbook continuation” pattern and could climb through $4,250 resistance towards a primary goal of the $4,750 demand zone. Furthermore, analyst Jelle maintains an upside target of $10,000 for Ether, provided key previous highs are maintained.
Whale Accumulation Signals Strength
The bullish sentiment is further supported by observations of “mega whales,” entities holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH, showing signs of accumulation at current price levels. This accumulation activity is seen as increasing the likelihood of Ether breaking out above the $4,000 threshold. Previous reports also indicated that Ethereum’s MVRV data and a bull flag breakout aligned to signal renewed upside momentum towards $4,500.
Outlook
Overall, market sentiment around Ethereum remains strongly bullish, driven by significant whale activity, favorable technical analysis, and diminishing supply on exchanges. The cryptocurrency’s ability to sustain its position above key resistance levels in the coming days will be critical for confirming these optimistic price trajectories.
