Executive Summary
The Trajectory So Far
Assessing Risk and Value
Expert Predictions and Forecasts
Renewed trade tensions between the United States and Canada, marked by President Trump’s announced 10% tariff increase on Canadian products, are creating unease among Canadians who own homes in Florida. This latest development adds to existing tariffs and is influencing how some Canadian buyers perceive the Sunshine State’s housing market.
Impact on Canadian Residents
James Peters, a Canadian who has resided in Florida for over 35 years and built a business there, expressed a shift in sentiment. He noted a transition from a welcoming atmosphere to one of perceived hostility, describing it as “Big Brother abusing the beautiful, little friendly little sister.” This feeling of being unwelcome is prompting some Canadians to reconsider their long-term presence in Florida.
Peters elaborated that the “sense of hostility” surrounding the tariffs is a significant concern. He feels that the situation has deteriorated, moving beyond mere economic measures to an “abusive” dynamic. Despite these concerns, Peters continues to live in Florida due to his daughters and business commitments, emphasizing his enduring affection for the state.
Housing Market Perspective
A 2024 report from the National Association of Realtors indicates that Canadians constitute approximately 13% of all foreign home buyers in the United States, with 41% of these purchases occurring in Florida. This highlights the substantial Canadian investment in the state’s real estate.
Randy Keys, a veteran RE/MAX realtor with 40 years of experience, acknowledged an initial wave of concern following the first tariff announcements. He observed a temporary increase in property sales from Canadian owners during that period. However, Keys notes that the market is showing signs of recovery.
Keys reported an uptick in inquiries from Canadians interested in buying property, attributing this to the current buyer’s market conditions. He remains optimistic that the initial reaction will subside, maintaining that a strong, long-term relationship between Canadians and Florida residents will prevail.
Looking Ahead
While President Trump’s tariffs have introduced a layer of uncertainty for Canadian homeowners and potential buyers in Florida, the market appears to be adapting. Despite some residents feeling unsettled by the political climate, the underlying appeal of Florida’s real estate, coupled with a favorable buyer’s market, suggests continued interest from Canadian investors.
 
			 
						 
				 
				
 
						 
					 
										 
										 
										 
										 
										