Executive Summary
The Trajectory So Far
Assessing Risk and Value
Expert Predictions and Forecasts
Rhode Island’s housing market continues to show strong price momentum, with median home prices climbing over 10% year-over-year, yet new data for September 2025 indicates softening signals for both sellers and buyers. While the market remains dynamic, an uptick in inventory suggests that the long-standing grip of a purely seller-driven environment may be beginning to loosen across the Ocean State.
According to the latest data from Redfin, the median sale price for all home types in Rhode Island reached $569,700 in September 2025, marking a 10.8% increase compared to the previous year. Notably, the city of Newport experienced a significant surge, posting an 80.5% gain, reflecting sustained high demand in its coastal areas.
Inventory levels are showing initial signs of growth, a crucial development after years of ultra-low supply. In September 2025, there were 3,522 homes for sale in Rhode Island, representing a 10.1% increase year-over-year, as reported by Redfin.
Despite this increase, the months of supply remains at two months, indicating that while conditions are easing, it is far from a buyer’s market. Additionally, the percentage of homes selling above list price declined by 7.7 percentage points year-over-year to approximately 41.7%, suggesting fewer multiple offers and slightly more room for buyer negotiation.
Earlier in 2025, reports from the Real Estate Institute of Rhode Island and the Rhode Island Association of REALTORS® (RIAR) noted a less extreme imbalance between supply and demand. For the first quarter of 2025, RIAR reported a median sale price of $465,000, a 5.7% year-over-year increase, even as single-family home sales volume saw a slight dip.
Market Implications
For sellers, robust prices continue to be an advantage, but overpricing or delaying a listing might reduce competitiveness as buyer urgency slightly wanes. Strategic pricing is becoming increasingly important in this evolving landscape.
Buyers still face a relatively tight market, but the emerging signs of cooling could offer more time for property tours, contingency considerations, and negotiation opportunities. This is particularly true in non-coastal or less prominent towns.
Investors will find coastal markets, such as Newport, remain high-demand and high-priced. The shifting market dynamics may favor more creative or niche investment strategies, including furnished rentals, multi-family units, or value-add properties.
Outlook
The Rhode Island real estate market continues to be decidedly seller-favourable, but the period of intense competition is gradually narrowing. Buyers may now find a bit more flexibility, while sellers are encouraged to approach the market with both optimism and a well-defined strategy.
