Executive Summary
The Trajectory So Far
Assessing Risk and Value
Expert Predictions and Forecasts
Zillow’s stock price experienced a significant boost following its strong third-quarter 2025 performance, with the real estate technology company reporting revenues and adjusted EBITDA that exceeded market expectations. Despite the housing market being described as “bouncing along the bottom,” Zillow’s strategic shift towards a comprehensive, transaction-focused platform appears to be yielding positive results, particularly in its Rentals and Mortgage segments.
Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations
For Q3, Zillow reported revenue of $676 million, a 16.4% increase year-over-year, surpassing its guidance range of $663 million to $673 million. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a substantial rise, climbing 30% year-over-year to $165 million, which was above the guided $150 million to $160 million. Looking ahead, the company has set its fourth-quarter revenue guidance between $645 million and $655 million, aligning with current market expectations.
Segmental Growth Drives Overall Results
The “For Sale” segment contributed $488 million in revenue, marking a 10% year-over-year increase. A significant driver within this segment was Mortgages, which surged 36% to $53 million, indicating a recovery in financing activity. The Rentals segment demonstrated even more robust growth, with revenue escalating 41% year-over-year to $174 million, including a 62% increase in multifamily revenue.
Zillow Rentals averaged 2.5 million monthly active listings during the quarter, with multifamily properties accounting for 69,000 of these, nearly doubling from two years prior. The company also notes a substantial growth opportunity, with approximately 140,000 untapped multifamily properties nationwide.
Strategic Shift Amid Challenging Market
Zillow has been actively transforming its business model from solely a home search portal to a broader, transaction-focused ecosystem. This platform now connects users across their entire housing journey, encompassing discovery, property touring, agent matching, and financing solutions. This strategic evolution is proving beneficial, especially as multifamily inventory expands and digital rental demand continues to rise.
Despite the broader housing market facing challenges such as constrained home listings and high interest rates, Zillow has managed to outperform the sector. However, the company acknowledges that top-line growth could remain uneven in the short term due to these market pressures. Zillow is increasingly viewed as an emerging cyclical recovery story, demonstrating solid execution and expanding opportunities, though its full potential remains reliant on a more robust housing market rebound.
