Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
The cryptocurrency market experienced significant turmoil on Tuesday, with total liquidations surpassing $2 billion as Bitcoin briefly fell below $100,000 for the first time in six months and Ethereum plunged to a four-month low. This widespread downturn was exacerbated by a combination of factors, including the U.S. government shutdown, broader macroeconomic uncertainty, and aggressive long-position trading.
Bitcoin’s Price Action
Bitcoin’s price dipped as low as $99,075 on CoinGecko and just under $99,000 on CoinMarketCap. The leading cryptocurrency was recently trading around $101,167, marking an approximate 5% daily decline and over 10% for the week. This puts Bitcoin nearly 20% down from its all-time high of over $126,000 set in early October.
Ethereum Hits Four-Month Low
Ethereum also saw a sharp correction, dropping from a 24-hour high of $3,649 to a four-month low of $3,097. At a recent price of $3,260, ETH was down more than 9% on the day, outpacing other top-ten cryptocurrencies in daily losses. Ethereum positions accounted for $655 million in liquidations, slightly exceeding Bitcoin’s $614 million.
Market-Wide Liquidations
Across the crypto market, approximately $2.02 billion worth of positions were liquidated within 24 hours, with $1.63 billion specifically from long positions betting on price increases. While substantial, this figure remains below the record $19 billion in liquidations witnessed in October, suggesting some traders may have adopted more conservative strategies since then.
Macroeconomic Headwinds and Expert Commentary
Analysts told Decrypt that the accelerated decline was partly due to the U.S. government shutdown, which increased the Treasury’s General Account (TGA) to $1 trillion. This move effectively siphoned an estimated $700 billion from asset markets, including crypto, and pushed overnight repo usage to record highs.
Maja Vujinovic, co-founder and CEO of digital assets at Ethereum treasury firm FG Nexus, commented that “too many traders were using borrowed money to bet on prices going up.” She suggested that if Bitcoin can maintain a price above $100,000-$105,000 in the coming days, the event might be a “healthy reset”; otherwise, a “deeper drop” could occur. Mike Maloney, CEO of Incyt, noted the event was an “echo of Black Friday (October 10),” with anxiety persisting among large investors despite a quick reversal.
The crypto correction coincided with a broader downturn in traditional financial markets, as the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices closed lower, impacting tech stocks. Other contributing factors to recent crypto losses include President Trump’s ongoing trade conflicts, particularly a threat against China that preceded October’s record liquidations, along with general liquidity concerns and growing skepticism regarding a potential third U.S. interest rate cut in 2025.
Key Takeaways
The recent market volatility underscores the interconnectedness of crypto with broader economic and political events. Investors are advised to monitor Bitcoin’s price stability above key psychological levels and observe macroeconomic indicators for signs of market recovery or further turbulence.
