Trump Shifts Strategy, Delays Tariffs on Mexico and Canada

U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick in National Statuary Hall at the U.S. Capitol U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick in National Statuary Hall at the U.S. Capitol
WASHINGTON — March 4 2025: U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick in National Statuary Hall at the U.S. Capitol. Photo credit: shutterstock.com / Joshua Sukoff.

In a decision that has stirred significant attention, President Trump has delayed the implementation of 25% tariffs on most goods from Mexico and certain Canadian imports by a month. This move comes amid widespread concerns about the potential consequences of a broader trade conflict.

The White House maintains that the tariffs aim to curb the smuggling of fentanyl; however, this policy shift has strained the decades-long North American trade partnership. As a result, stock markets have dropped and alarm has spread among American consumers. Though Trump insists tariffs can address the trade deficit, he plans to implement ‘reciprocal’ tariffs starting April 2.

Trump specified, ‘Most tariffs take effect on April 2,’ highlighting that some temporary tariffs involve significant financial stakes related to Mexico and Canada. Conversely, he does not foresee extending exemptions on the 25% car tariff beyond a month.

The Trump administration’s tariff plans have impacted the stock market and caused concern among businesses about the future of investment and economic growth. While some imports from Mexico and Canada can avoid tariffs if they comply with the trade agreement known as T-MEC, other Canadian imports like potash and energy products face new tariffs.

Claudia Sheinbaum, Mexico’s president, delayed retaliatory actions, attributing progress on issues like immigration and drug smuggling, including a 41% decrease in fentanyl seizures, as a reason for postponement. In a statement on social media, Sheinbaum wrote about ongoing cooperation with the U.S. on migration and security, particularly in reducing illegal fentanyl and weapon crossings.

Relations with Canada have also seen a temporary thaw, with Canada suspending retaliatory tariffs worth billions. However, Ontario’s Premier Doug Ford announced a 25% charge on electricity exported to U.S. states as part of Canada’s response to Trump’s trade actions.

U.S. financial markets briefly stabilized after comments from Howard Lutnick, the Commerce Secretary, but returned to a downward trend shortly after, with the S&P 500 falling below pre-election levels. Economists foresee tariffs leading to price hikes, economic slowing, and potential job losses.

A Yale University Budget Lab estimates these tariffs could increase inflation by a full percentage point, slow growth by half a percentage point, and reduce average household disposable income by approximately $1,600. Despite this, Trump acknowledged potential disruptions: ‘There will be a slight disturbance, but we are okay with it.’

President Trump’s decision to delay tariffs offers a temporary reprieve in North American trade tensions, yet the long-term implications remain unclear. As businesses and economies brace for potential disruption, the future of these tariffs and their wider impact is eagerly anticipated.

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