Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping convened in Busan, South Korea, on Thursday for a highly anticipated meeting aimed at de-escalating trade and tariff disputes. The two leaders participated in a photo opportunity before their discussions, scheduled for 11 a.m. local time. This marks their first in-person engagement since President Trump began his second term in January.
High-Stakes Dialogue Amidst Rising Tensions
The meeting takes place against a backdrop of escalating tensions between the world’s two largest economies. Recent weeks have seen Beijing implement export controls and Washington threaten to ban certain software-powered exports to China, exacerbating an already strained relationship.
The U.S. administration has outlined several key objectives for the talks, including restricting the flow of fentanyl into the United States and securing the divestiture of TikTok from its Beijing-based parent company, ByteDance. Broader discussions are also expected to cover tariffs, technology curbs, and rare earth minerals.
While Beijing has maintained a more cautious outlook regarding the prospects of an immediate agreement, a potential sign of improving relations emerged recently. China reportedly purchased its first significant cargoes of U.S. soybeans in several months, as reported by Reuters on Wednesday.
Xi’s Broader South Korea Visit
President Xi’s presence in South Korea extends beyond the bilateral meeting with President Trump. He is undertaking his first state visit to the country in 11 years, from Thursday to Saturday, to attend the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting in Gyeongju.
Market Reaction and Outlook
Global financial markets have been closely monitoring developments from Busan, as the ongoing trade friction between the U.S. and China has consistently introduced volatility. Optimism regarding a potential trade agreement between the two nations led to a notable surge in global markets at the start of the week, reflecting investor hopes for a breakthrough in the high-stakes negotiations.
