Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
U.S. spot Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recorded substantial outflows, totaling a combined $2.6 billion over the past week, marking one of the largest redemption periods since their inception. This significant investor pull-back, primarily driven by macroeconomic concerns including escalating trade tensions under President Donald Trump, has exerted downward pressure on the prices of the two largest cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices React to Outflows
Since October 29, Bitcoin funds saw over $1.9 billion in withdrawals, while Ethereum counterparts experienced $718.9 million in redemptions, according to data from Farside Investors. This trend contributed to Bitcoin’s recent dip below $100,000 for the first time since May, though it has since recovered slightly to trade around $103,428, still down approximately 18% from its October record of $126,080.
Ethereum also faced considerable pressure, plummeting 13% over the past week, despite a recent 5% 24-hour jump to $3,439. The second-largest digital asset by market capitalization continues to struggle to approach its August record high of $4,946.
Macroeconomic Headwinds Drive Investor Caution
Investors have largely shifted away from cryptocurrencies and other risk-on assets amid growing anxieties over global economic stability. Key factors cited include President Trump’s intensified trade war against China, an ongoing government shutdown, persistent low market liquidity, and diminishing expectations for a third U.S. interest rate cut before the end of the year.
Last week’s volatility in crypto and broader markets notably resulted in zero net flows for Ethereum investment products, marking the first time such an equilibrium has occurred since the U.S.-based ETFs received approval last year. Bitcoin also experienced significant shocks alongside tech stocks due to these macro uncertainties.
Expert Offers Perspective on Outflows
Despite President Trump’s generally pro-crypto stance, market sentiment has remained cautious. In February, spot Bitcoin ETFs endured their longest losing streak, with investors withdrawing over $2.2 billion over eight consecutive days following earlier tariff announcements from the president.
Ric Edelman, head of the Digital Assets Council of Financial Advisors, offered a more optimistic view. He emphasized that while $2.6 billion in outflows sounds substantial, it represents only about 2% of the Bitcoin ETFs’ total assets under management, which stand at $145.4 billion since their successful debut in January 2024. Edelman noted that the continued resilience of Bitcoin’s price, despite these outflows, indicates strong institutional inflows and the increasing maturity of the asset class.
