Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
Bitcoin’s price plummeted below the $100,000 threshold on Tuesday for the first time in six months, triggering a massive $1.3 billion in liquidations across the cryptocurrency market. This sharp downturn, which saw other major digital assets like Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin also experience significant drops, is largely attributed to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and its impact on market liquidity.
Bitcoin briefly touched $99,954 on Coinbase and $99,990 according to price tracker CoinMarketCap, before recovering slightly above $101,000. The leading cryptocurrency has fallen over 5% in the last 24 hours, approximately 12% over the past week, and more than 20% since reaching a new all-time high above $126,000 in early October. The last instance Bitcoin traded below six figures was in early May.
Market Liquidations Intensify
The recent price drop led to $1.3 billion worth of positions being liquidated over the past 24 hours, exceeding the $1.1 billion tally observed on Monday morning. Over $1.1 billion of these liquidations were from long positions, which are bets on asset prices increasing. Bitcoin accounted for $470 million of these liquidations, with Ethereum following at approximately $377 million.
Macroeconomic Headwinds
Analysts suggest that Bitcoin was already nearing the end of its prolonged bull run when the U.S. government shutdown accelerated its decline. They point to the increase in the government’s Treasury General Account (TGA), which has reportedly siphoned about $700 billion from the market and pushed overnight repo usage to record highs, thus reducing overall market liquidity.
Brian Huang, co-founder and CEO of Glider, characterized the situation as “Crypto’s Black Friday,” noting that many investors have withdrawn funds from risk assets and rotated into stablecoins, which have reached all-time highs in circulation. This sentiment was echoed by earlier, failed predictions from Myriad users, who had assigned a 44% chance of BTC rising to $120,000 just 24 hours prior.
Broader Market Impact
Beyond Bitcoin, other major cryptocurrencies experienced significant losses. Ethereum saw a nearly 10% daily decline, falling below $3,300, while XRP dropped 7.5% to $2.17. Solana decreased by 8% to $154, and Dogecoin was down approximately 7% to $0.157. Macro factors such as President Trump’s past tariff threats against China and dwindling prospects of a third U.S. interest rate cut before year’s end have also contributed to the market’s volatility.
The cryptocurrency market is currently navigating significant selling pressure, primarily driven by the U.S. government shutdown’s impact on liquidity and broader macroeconomic uncertainties. This has resulted in substantial liquidations and a notable decline across major digital assets, pushing Bitcoin below a critical psychological price point.
