Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
Ethereum whales have significantly increased their holdings since April, signaling a potential institutional re-entry and market trend reversal, according to recent analysis. This accumulation by large investors coincides with a reduction in retail investor positions and precedes the anticipated Fusaka upgrade on December 3, 2025, which aims to enhance the network’s scalability and reduce transaction costs.
Whales Accumulate While Retail Divests
Since late April, whale investors, categorized as those holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH, have expanded their Ethereum positions by 52%, adding 7.6 million ETH to their portfolios. Conversely, retail investors, holding 100 to 1,000 ETH, have decreased their holdings by 16% over the same period, as reported by CryptoQuant data.
Analysts suggest this pattern, where large investors absorb sell-side liquidity from smaller holders, often indicates market bottoms. Shawn Young, chief analyst at MEXC Research, noted that this cycle mirrors previous bottoms marked by substantial wallet activity.
The Ethereum spot market experienced higher-than-average trading volumes in early November when ETH prices dipped to $3,000. Such activity is commonly observed before significant trend reversals or consolidation phases, prompting analysts to monitor the market for further signs of a shift.
ETH/BTC Ratio and Transaction Growth Signal Strength
The ETH/BTC ratio has maintained stability at multi-month lows, suggesting Ethereum’s underlying strength even as Bitcoin continues its market dominance. Young believes this stability, coupled with a 25% increase in daily Ethereum transactions since September, could form a robust foundation for ETH’s momentum.
Lai Yuen, an investment analyst at Fisher8 Capital, highlighted that Ethereum’s price action and improved transaction activity could indicate a re-entry of institutional players. Yuen also pointed to growing optimism surrounding Ethereum’s future, partly due to the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown.
Fusaka Upgrade Poised to Boost Institutional Interest
The upcoming Fusaka upgrade, scheduled for December 3, is expected to further fuel institutional interest in Ethereum. This upgrade will improve scalability and reduce transaction costs by introducing dedicated data lanes for rollups, benefiting Layer 2 protocols with faster and more affordable transactions.
MEXC’s Young emphasized the upgrade’s critical role in Ethereum’s adoption, particularly within decentralized finance (DeFi). The Fusaka update is designed to enhance Ethereum’s capacity for real-world applications, potentially encouraging more institutions to build on its platform and drive broader adoption.
Additionally, the upgrade will implement Peer Data Availability Sampling, enabling nodes to share smaller data pieces. This innovation aims to reduce bandwidth and hardware requirements, lowering participation barriers and fostering greater decentralization.
Outlook
Should the current accumulation trend persist, analysts anticipate Ethereum entering a consolidation phase, with prices holding in the $3,000 to $3,400 range. With the Fusaka upgrade on the horizon and increasing institutional engagement, the market dynamics suggest a positive outlook for Ethereum’s potential gains in the coming weeks. Ethereum is currently trading at $3,560, reflecting a 1.6% decrease over the last 24 hours.
