Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
The Ether-Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio has consistently remained below the 0.05 threshold since July 2024, despite significant institutional adoption of Ether and a historic price rally that saw ETH reach new all-time highs in July and August. This persistent underperformance against Bitcoin highlights a notable trend in the cryptocurrency market, even as Ether itself has experienced substantial growth.
ETH/BTC Ratio Performance
The ETH/BTC ratio, which gauges Ether’s value relative to Bitcoin, currently stands at 0.039, a decrease from 0.04 in August. This metric has not surpassed 0.05 since July 2024. Its all-time high was 0.14 in June 2017, according to data from CoinGecko.
Earlier in the year, the ratio plummeted to a five-year low of 0.02 in March. This decline occurred amidst widespread macroeconomic uncertainty and escalating trade tensions between the United States and its global trading partners.
Ether’s Price Rally and Institutional Interest
Despite the ETH/BTC ratio’s struggles, the broader cryptocurrency market experienced a recovery, leading to new highs in subsequent months. Ether’s price, in particular, saw a series of peaks in August, culminating in an all-time high of $4,957 on August 24. It has since retraced by approximately 6.7% from that peak.
Ether’s price has surged by about 155% since July. This rally has been fueled by several factors, including financial institutions adopting the token for treasury purposes. Additionally, traditional equity investors have been purchasing ETH through exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and the Ethereum Foundation has been actively promoting the network to Wall Street.
Historical Outperformance Trends
Market analyst James Check notes that Ether has outperformed Bitcoin only 15% of the time since its launch in 2015. The majority of this outperformance occurred between 2015 and 2017, following the debut of the world’s first smart contract blockchain platform and during the initial coin offering (ICO) boom of 2017.
However, Check’s price history analysis from April indicates a shift in trend since 2020, with Bitcoin consistently outperforming Ether. Despite this, market analysts continue to forecast when Ethereum will finally breach the $5,000 milestone, a level it narrowly missed by approximately $43 in August before its recent pullback.