Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, projects that Ethereum (ETH) could exceed $10,000 by 2030, driven primarily by its foundational role in stablecoin transactions and increasing institutional adoption. This optimistic forecast comes despite a period of what Hougan describes as “depression” for the blockchain, currently trading around $3,850.
Ethereum’s Turnaround Opportunity
While competing networks like Solana have captured recent headlines, Ethereum has been grappling with a narrative of recovery. The blockchain, which pioneered smart contracts and decentralized finance, has faced questions regarding its relevance and a perceived downturn in community sentiment.
Concerns have included languishing activity, the effectiveness of layer-2 scaling solutions, and a perceived draining of value from the main chain. Some detractors even labeled the network as overvalued and uninvestable during this period.
The Stablecoin Thesis
Hougan identifies stablecoins as a crucial structural advantage that many Ethereum skeptics overlook. He posits that all future payments will eventually run on stablecoins, and the vast majority of these assets are currently issued on Ethereum’s blockchain.
Over 53% of the $307 billion stablecoin market, including dominant players like USDT and USDC, operates on Ethereum, significantly outpacing rivals such as Solana. As traditional finance increasingly embraces stablecoins for payments, settlement, and treasury management, Ethereum is positioned as the essential underlying infrastructure.
Activities ranging from JPMorgan accepting crypto as collateral to BlackRock’s tokenized treasury fund generating fees all benefit Ethereum. The accelerating volume of stablecoin transactions directly translates into increased earnings for the Ethereum network.
Institutional Infrastructure and Demand
Ethereum also maintains its status as the default choice for institutions building blockchain infrastructure. Its deep liquidity, extensive developer talent, and established regulatory frameworks make it a conservative and reliable option for enterprises entering the crypto space.
Experts anticipate that as trillions of dollars in traditional assets are tokenized over the next decade, much of this activity will initially occur on Ethereum. This institutional preference contributes significantly to its long-term staying power.
Beyond building on the network, institutions are also accumulating Ether itself. “Ethereum treasuries”—companies holding Ether on their balance sheets—have grown substantially, with over 70 companies collectively holding more than 6 million Ether, valued at approximately $23 billion. This volume now surpasses Bitcoin companies in terms of total supply held.
Path to $10,000
Hougan frames Ethereum’s current position as a classic turnaround scenario: depressed sentiment masking robust structural advantages and a clear catalyst in stablecoin adoption that is already underway. Achieving the $10,000 target from current levels hinges on Ethereum delivering on its staking, scaling, and stablecoin narratives, coupled with sustained institutional demand.
