Executive Summary
- Aggregators have begun tracking 2028 presidential scenarios involving J.D. Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Kamala Harris.
- Key Senate and Governor races in states like Michigan and Georgia are already being monitored.
- The data includes job approval tracking for President Donald Trump.
Political data aggregators have officially commenced tracking for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, establishing preliminary lists of potential contenders for both the Democratic and Republican nominations. This early data framework sets the stage for hypothetical general election matchups and party nomination contests four years ahead of the next executive cycle.
The initial monitoring framework identifies J.D. Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom as central figures in hypothetical general election spreads. The tracking lists also include Vice President Kamala Harris, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro among potential Democratic nominees monitored by pollsters.
On the Republican side, the prospective field being tracked includes Donald Trump Jr., Senator Marco Rubio, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The data structures also include tracking for key Senate and Gubernatorial races across battleground states such as Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, and Pennsylvania, alongside job approval ratings for President Donald Trump.
Electoral Analysis
The early establishment of these polling categories reflects the permanent nature of the modern campaign cycle. While no official candidacies have been declared for 2028, the selection of these specific individuals for tracking purposes delineates the perceived hierarchy of party influence and public recognition following the conclusion of the 2024 election. This preliminary data serves as a baseline for political strategists to gauge the viability of potential successors in the post-2024 landscape.