Donald Trump’s reelection has sparked a mix of hope and challenges for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as they navigate a turbulent Middle East.
After Donald Trump’s recent electoral victory, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu quickly extended his congratulations, describing it as “History’s greatest comeback!” Netanyahu’s enthusiasm stems from Trump’s previously strong support for Israel during his first term. This support included recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and moving the U.S. Embassy there, a decision welcomed by Netanyahu but controversial internationally. Trump also acknowledged Israel’s claim to the Golan Heights and overlooked Israeli settlement activities in contested regions, aligning with Netanyahu’s policies.
However, new complexities have arisen since Trump left office in 2021. Netanyahu faces serious challenges, including a corruption trial and an international arrest warrant linked to the ongoing conflict in Gaza. Consequently, the renewed backing from Trump becomes crucial for Netanyahu.
Netanyahu’s administration hopes for Trump to exert pressure on Iran, possibly even facilitating military options against Iran’s nuclear developments. There is also an ambition to further diplomatic ties with Saudi Arabia without making concessions to the Palestinians, something Netanyahu aims to achieve with Trump’s support.
Despite aspirations, the relationship between Trump and Netanyahu may not be as seamless as before. Netanyahu publicly acknowledged Joe Biden’s win in 2020, which might have strained his rapport with Trump, known for challenging the 2020 election results. Trump’s stance on ongoing Middle Eastern conflicts, especially the simmering situation in Gaza, also remains to be clarified.
In recent political developments, Netanyahu’s popularity has waned. The aftermath of the Hamas attacks and a prolonged conflict with Hezbollah have tested his leadership, raising concerns about his coalition’s stability if elections were held. Further compounding his challenges are scandals within his cabinet and the looming trial that could further tarnish his image.
Therefore, while Trump’s presidency could offer a strategic advantage, there are no assurances that Netanyahu will achieve all his objectives. Trump’s future policies, particularly towards Iran and the Israeli-Palestinian situation, may differ from Netanyahu’s hopes. Furthermore, while Saudi Arabia seeks Palestinian statehood as a condition for normalizing ties with Israel, Netanyahu’s governing partners are opposed, risking a collapse of his government should he consider concessions.
Eytan Gilboa, a U.S.-Israel relations expert, highlights that Netanyahu expects Trump to apply “maximum pressure” on Iran, but Trump’s strategies remain ambiguous. If Trump pursues peace talks as a legacy goal, Netanyahu might face tough choices that challenge his political alliances.
In this evolving geopolitical landscape, the dynamics between Trump and Netanyahu will be critical. While Trump’s support could potentially bolster Netanyahu, the complexities of the region and differing political goals may pose significant challenges. As Trump formulates his policies, Netanyahu must navigate this intricate relationship carefully.
Source: Sun-sentinel