Executive Summary
The Trajectory So Far
Assessing Risk and Value
Expert Predictions and Forecasts
Maine’s housing market is experiencing a significant regional divide, with southern and coastal areas maintaining high prices and fierce competition, while central and northern parts of the state show signs of cooling and a more balanced environment for buyers. Recent data from Maine Listings indicates a stark contrast in property availability and cost, a shift welcomed by prospective buyers in less competitive regions but challenging for those eyeing the state’s more sought-after locales.
This bifurcation represents a notable change from the pandemic era, when home prices surged and inventory plummeted uniformly across Maine. While the statewide housing market has seen an improvement in inventory, the experiences of buyers and sellers vary dramatically depending on their location within the state.
Real estate agents attribute the sustained demand in southern and coastal Maine to several factors, including a higher concentration of job opportunities, desirable proximity to beaches, and the ability for some residents to commute to neighboring states like New Hampshire or Massachusetts. Additionally, these regions appeal to retirees seeking closeness to larger hospitals and service centers, according to Matt Pouliot, broker and owner of Pouliot Real Estate, and Julia Bassett Schwerin, a broker and realtor at Advisors Living Real Estate.
For those determined to buy in competitive southern or coastal areas, agents advise making concessions, having realistic expectations, and considering creative buying strategies. This might include foregoing a large property or exploring multi-family homes to leverage rental income. Schwerin and Pouliot anticipate market conditions will largely persist in the coming months, with a slow and gradual return to a more balanced statewide market.
Housing Market Indicators
Real estate experts utilize several key data sets to assess the health and direction of the housing market, offering insights into inventory levels, median sales prices, and the average time homes spend on the market.
Inventory
Housing inventory, measured by the months it would take for current listings to sell, is a crucial indicator of market balance. A balanced market typically has around six months of inventory. As of last month, Maine had slightly more than three months of inventory, an improvement from the less than two months seen during the peak of the pandemic housing boom.
However, county-level data reveals significant disparities. Washington County boasts a balanced market with over six months of inventory, closely followed by Waldo and Franklin counties, each with more than five months. In contrast, Cumberland, Sagadahoc, York, and Androscoggin counties remain seller’s markets, with approximately two months of inventory.
Median Price
The median sales price of a single-family home in Maine stood at $402,500 last month, according to Maine Listings. This figure, however, masks considerable regional variations driven by demand.
Homes in Cumberland and York counties commanded much higher median prices, at $580,000 and $525,000 respectively. Sagadahoc and Lincoln counties also saw median prices approaching $500,000. On the other end of the spectrum, Aroostook County reported the lowest median property cost at $167,500, with Piscataquis County close behind at $220,000. Other central counties like Somerset, Penobscot, Washington, and Franklin had median prices ranging from $265,000 to $285,000.
Average Days on Market
The average number of days a house remains on the market before selling is another indicator of buyer demand and market competitiveness. In desirable areas, homes are typically snatched up much faster.
Maine Listings data shows that single-family homes in Cumberland, Androscoggin, Sagadahoc, and Kennebec counties are on the market for two weeks or less on average. This is an improvement from the summer of 2021, when homes often sold in under a week, and is close to the statewide average of 18 days. Conversely, properties in Washington, Piscataquis, and Somerset counties are moving much more slowly, often remaining on the market for more than 40 days before closing.
Overall, while the statewide market shows signs of a slow return to balance, the experience for homebuyers and sellers in Maine remains highly localized, with distinct conditions persisting between the state’s urban and rural, and coastal and inland regions.
