Executive Summary
The Story So Far
Why This Matters
Who Thinks What?
European leaders convened in Copenhagen on Thursday, October 2, 2025, for a European Political Community (EPC) summit, where French President Emmanuel Macron urged a more aggressive posture against Russia. Macron called for the destruction of drones violating European airspace and the boarding of “shadow fleet” ships suspected of illicitly transporting oil, aiming to significantly curtail Moscow’s war revenue.
Hardening Stance Against Russia
The summit, hosted by Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, saw leaders from over 40 European nations discussing heightened concerns over Russia’s actions. Discussions focused on recent drone incidents, acts of sabotage, cyber-attacks, and sanction-busting activities across the continent. A closed session without phones or advisors reportedly led to a hardened collective stance.
President Macron advocated for “more unpredictability and more strategic ambiguity” in dealing with Russian President Vladimir Putin. He stated that drones violating European territories “can be destroyed,” emphasizing that European nations would act without prior notice. Macron cited a recent French intervention against an oil tanker on the EU’s shadow fleet sanction list, leading to the detention of two crew members, as an effective measure.
Macron highlighted that the “shadow fleet” finances “30 to 40% of the war effort” for Russia. He suggested that seizing these ships for even a short period could severely disrupt their operational efficiency and reduce Russia’s financial capacity.
Calls for Increased Sanctions and Support for Ukraine
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that “Russia will not stop until they are forced to do so.” She warned that Russia poses “a threat not only to Ukraine but to all of us” and urged Europe to abandon its naivety, recognizing the conflict as a broader war against European values and freedom.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz affirmed a strong sense of unity and determination among the leaders. He stated that Putin “should not underestimate our determination” to confront Russian aggression collectively. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk echoed these sentiments, urging leaders to shed any “illusions” about Russia’s intentions and emphasizing that the conflict is a complex, new type of war.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer stressed the importance of escalating economic pressure on Russia through further sanctions, particularly targeting its energy sector and the “shadow fleet.” Starmer also called for continued robust support for Ukraine, advocating for increased provisions of air defenses, long-range missiles, and anti-drone capabilities to strengthen the country’s defensive position.
Collective Resolve
The European Political Community summit concluded with a clear message of heightened vigilance and a unified commitment to counter Russia’s multifaceted aggression. Leaders expressed a collective determination to protect European interests through a combination of assertive military readiness, economic pressure, and unwavering support for Ukraine.