Can Trump and Xi Bridge the Divide? Rare Earths, Tariffs, and the Future of US-China Trade

Trump, Xi to meet to de-escalate trade tensions after tariff threats and China‘s export controls.
Chinese President Xi Jinping stands in front of the Chinese flag next to a screen displaying a portrait of President Donald Trump. Chinese President Xi Jinping stands in front of the Chinese flag next to a screen displaying a portrait of President Donald Trump.
This composite image shows President Xi Jinping next to a digitally displayed image of President Donald Trump, representing the complex geopolitical relationship between their two nations. By Mijansk786 / Shutterstock.com.

Executive Summary

  • President Trump is still expected to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping in South Korea later this month to de-escalate recent trade tensions.
  • Tensions escalated due to China’s expanded rare earths export controls and President Trump’s 100% tariff threat, but U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced “substantial de-escalation” with tariffs delayed until November 1.
  • The U.S. maintains a firm stance against China’s “command and control” economic practices, asserting that the U.S. will not be controlled, even as diplomatic discussions continue.
  • The Story So Far

  • The planned meeting between President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping is an effort to de-escalate recent, sharp trade tensions that escalated following China’s expansion of rare earths export controls, which are critical for tech manufacturing, and President Trump’s subsequent threat of a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. This latest friction is part of an ongoing, volatile trade relationship where the U.S. has asserted a firm stance against what it perceives as China’s “command and control” economic practices.
  • Why This Matters

  • The planned meeting between President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, coupled with the delayed implementation of new tariffs, signals a significant effort to de-escalate recent trade tensions, which has already helped calm jittery global markets and spurred a rebound in U.S. stocks. However, fundamental disagreements persist over China’s expanded rare earths export controls and the U.S.’s firm stance against perceived coercive economic practices, underscoring the ongoing need for high-level negotiations to manage the volatile relationship and prevent further economic disruption.
  • Who Thinks What?

  • U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, representing the Trump administration, believes that recent tensions have “substantially de-escalated” and that President Trump’s threatened tariffs “do not have to happen,” despite viewing China’s rare earth controls as provocative and asserting that the U.S. will not be controlled by China’s command economy.
  • China blames the United States for escalating trade tensions, calling President Trump’s latest tariff threats “hypocritical,” and defends its expanded export controls on rare earth elements and related equipment as necessary.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump is still expected to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping in South Korea later this month, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced on Monday, despite a recent escalation in trade tensions between the two global powers. The planned meeting aims to de-escalate disputes that arose from China’s expanded rare earths export controls and President Trump’s subsequent threat of a 100% tariff on Chinese goods.

    De-escalation Efforts Amid Rising Tensions

    The latest rupture in U.S.-China relations followed China’s announcement last Thursday of a dramatic expansion of its rare earths export controls. President Trump responded with a sharp countermeasure on Friday, which sent global markets and diplomatic relations into a spiral.

    Treasury Secretary Bessent indicated that substantial communications occurred between the two sides over the weekend, with more meetings anticipated. “We have substantially de-escalated,” Bessent stated in an interview with Fox Business Network, adding that President Trump’s tariffs would not take effect until November 1.

    Market Reaction and Upcoming Discussions

    The softer tone from the U.S. Treasury helped soothe a jittery Wall Street, sparking a strong rebound in U.S. stocks on Monday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index rose nearly 2%, with other major indexes also seeing gains of about 1%.

    President Trump’s tariff threat on Friday had previously triggered a significant sell-off, intensifying anxieties among investors and policymakers about a potentially frothy stock market fueled by an artificial intelligence investment boom.

    Further discussions are planned, with U.S.-China staff-level meetings scheduled for this week in Washington. These talks will take place on the sidelines of the annual World Bank and International Monetary Fund gatherings, signaling ongoing diplomatic engagement.

    U.S. Stance on Trade Practices

    Bessent emphasized that the threatened 100% tariff “does not have to happen” and characterized the overall relationship as “good,” despite last week’s announcement. He noted that lines of communication have reopened, suggesting a path forward for negotiations.

    Despite the efforts to de-escalate, Bessent described China’s recent move as provocative, confirming that the U.S. pushed back aggressively. He indicated that the United States has been in contact with allies and expects support from European nations, India, and democracies in Asia.

    In a strong statement, Bessent asserted, “China is a command and control economy. They are neither going to command nor control us.” This reflects the U.S. administration’s firm stance against what it perceives as coercive economic practices.

    China’s Perspective on Export Controls

    China, for its part, blamed the United States for the escalating trade tensions on Sunday, calling President Trump’s latest tariff threats “hypocritical.” Beijing defended its curbs on exports of rare earth elements and related equipment, which are crucial for tech manufacturing.

    Under China’s new regulations, foreign companies producing certain rare earths and related magnets will now require a Chinese export license if the final product contains or is made with Chinese equipment or material, even if no Chinese companies are directly involved in the transaction. The U.S. has indicated it would reject such licensing requirements.

    Outlook on U.S.-China Trade Relations

    As President Trump and President Xi prepare for their late October summit, the two economic superpowers continue to navigate a complex and often volatile trade relationship. The upcoming high-level meeting and ongoing staff-level discussions underscore persistent efforts to manage disputes and prevent further economic disruption, despite recent sharp exchanges over critical resources and tariffs.

    Add a comment

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    Secret Link